Categories
Uncategorized

Western North Carolina, Tropical Storm Helene & Small Business Recovery, Part 1

As a resident of Western North Carolina (WNC) working in community and economic development, I have come to know and understand the many unique challenges that both residents and small businesses face, such as the land and unique mountainous terrain, the price and lack of affordable housing, the lack of childcare and affordable childcare, and the cost of living to name a few. I acknowledge that many of these challenges are not unique to WNC and can be universally applied to the country.

So, let me try to paint you a picture of WNC. Most of it is rural, with small populations in each county and municipality that heavily rely on small businesses and tourism to support local economies.

Regardless of the size of some communities, 45% of North Carolina’s GDP comes from Western North Carolina (OSBM Helene Damage Assessment), and 99.6% of North Carolina’s GDP comes from small business owners.

https://www.osbm.nc.gov/hurricane-helene-dna/open

The months of September and October are classified as “peak leaf season,” as many tourists flock to the area to witness the spectacular seasonal change of the trees that fills mountains and hillsides with bright colors of yellow, orange, and red. These tourists typically provide small business owners with about 30% of their annual revenue, enough to sustain them during the slower winter months until tourism picks up again during the spring. There is much more relevance to this, and I’ll get into it further.

There are a total of 100 counties in North Carolina that are rated on a 3-level tier system. Most of WNC is also classified as distressed in accordance with the state’s rating system, which can be found here: https://www.commerce.nc.gov/grants-incentives/county-distress-rankings-tiers

The median income is below the state’s median income of $68,610, and we have a higher population of seniors than the state, requiring a high level of care. For more in-depth details, please feel free to explore this county profile map put together by the NC Rural Center: https://www.ncruralcenter.org/county-data/

Thinking back to late September of 2024, I don’t think anyone could have predicted the magnitude or the impact that Tropical Storm (TS) Helene would have in our region.

I was extremely fortunate, thankful, and grateful to have escaped the storm with no damage other than food loss. Thinking back to that day, I recall being home on Friday, September 27, and the power went out at about 8:00 am. Many parts of Western North Carolina had already received 6-10 inches of rain the day before the implications of TS Helene, which set the stage for the disastrous events that followed. The ground became over-saturated with water from a different storm system the day before, and the surrounding bodies of water had already risen or flooded.

I was calm when the power went out. I thought I was prepared and ready. I was not. No one was. No amount of warning could have prepared the citizens of the disaster-declared counties for what was to come. Shortly after the power went out, all cell phone communication was lost, and there was no internet access. I was in the dark, literally and figuratively. Having no idea what was happening and inability to find out sent me into panic mode. I made preparations to leave until it was suitable to come back, which ended up being almost 3 weeks later when the electricity was restored.

I remember waking up early on Saturday, loading my car, and heading out into the unknown. A typical 3-hour drive took almost 6 hours, and I had to drive well over 120 miles before I could get a glimmer of cell phone reception. Every small town that I drove through was also without electricity. Homes were ravaged and destroyed, and I witnessed the entire River Arts District underwater while driving out of Asheville. I saw homes and vehicles with trees lying across them. I saw a whole section of the interstate closed from a mudslide in Black Mountain, which caused a reroute from 70 to 26 for myself and many others trying to leave the city. I saw people, blanked-faced, wandering the streets in a state of panic and confusion, trying to figure out where to go or what to do. It was the equivalent of the zombie apocalypse minus the zombies. I don’t know how else to explain it.

I watched the chaos unfold from afar and kept my neighbors and friends up-to-date as much as I could via text messages who had chosen to stay in their homes but did not have internet access. Leaving my home left me with a feeling of guilt, but I soon realized that I was one less person in the area to take away from the resources that were desperately needed by those who had lost everything.

Here is a view of what I saw driving out of Asheville on Saturday, the 28th. The French Broad River reached over 16 feet by 11 am covering most of the River Arts District, seen here from the Haywood Road bridge. Photo Source: Jacob Biba/Asheville Citizen-Times: https://www.citizen-times.com/picture-gallery/news/local/2024/09/29/river-arts-district-asheville-flooding/75442009007/

WNC communities and small businesses were and are still recovering from TS Fred, in addition to small businesses recovering from the COVID-19 global pandemic before TS Helene hit. Most of Fred’s public recovery efforts have been wrapped into the scope of TS Helene’s recovery efforts. Public recovery is a challenge but not the same as private business recovery.

Private business recovery differs significantly from public recovery because business owners assume 100% of the risk. There are few options for small business owners (SBOs) outside of loans or grants (if they can find any). Many SBOs are still paying off loans that supported them throughout the pandemic and cannot borrow more money regardless of the low interest rates offered by the Small Business Administration.

So, what was the first problem? As I said before, small businesses earn approximately 30% of their annual revenue during September and October, peak leaf season. The revenue earned during peak leaf season carries SBOs to spring when tourism picks up again. Just because communities were located in disaster-declared counties does not equate to them being closed for business. They had the capacity to handle economic activities derived from tourism.

The former Governor of North Carolina, Roy Cooper, declared WNC closed for business and announced to tourists, “We don’t want you here.” Naturally, people stopped coming. https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/local/2024/10/03/nc-gov-cooper-to-tourists-after-helene-we-dont-want-you-here/75494195007/

I understand the implications that were caused to all of the roads in Western North Carolina and the need for roadways to be free for emergency responders and trucks bringing in aid. Still, at the same time, small, rural, distressed communities that were not impacted or minimally impacted that could host tourists were unintentionally crippled through the actions of the former Governor. The intentions were good, but the delivery was terrible and should have been much more precise regarding what was closed to tourism and who was open.

What’s the second problem? At the time, the Small Business Administration (SBA) ran out of funds for the year and could not provide disaster relief loans in a timely manner. https://www.sba.gov/article/2024/10/15/sba-exhausts-funds-new-disaster-loans

So, let’s say a business owner filed an insurance claim, and like most insurance claims, there was a partial or complete denial. Now, the business owner turns to the SBA, and there is no money. What are they supposed to do? The harsh reality is that many had to close their shops, pack up, and leave the state. Their employees and the owners are out of work, the local economy is affected, and the entirety of North Carolina is affected.

Thanks for stopping by The Professional Student! Part 2 will follow shortly, but please let me know your thoughts, especially if you’re a local resident of Western North Carolina.

Categories
Uncategorized

The Ups & Downs: Americana A 400-Year History of American Capitalism by Bhu Srinivasan

Welcome back to The Professional Student! I hope you’ve caught up on the previous book review blogs, but if not, no worries. We are going to keep moving forward and talk about a lot of highs and lows.


We’re in the 20th century, and things have progressed rapidly in America. The early years of the 1900s were prosperous, and the country was thriving, but not everything was butterflies and sunshine unless you were in Hollywood. War is looming, not just a typical war, but the First World War because of a conflict between the Allies and the Central Powers.


Millions of men left home to fight, and women filled manufacturing and farming jobs back home, a vast departure from the typical household model. Women also enlisted in various branches of service in jobs usually away from the battlefield but provided direct support to the front lines. The war ended in 1918, and economic prosperity followed, known as The Roaring Twenties. Ironically enough, during this time, prohibition also started (and lasted 13 years) making it illegal to sell, transport, and produce alcoholic beverages.


When there is a demand, there will always be a supply if money is to be made regardless of the law. Bootleggers understood this and risked criminal charges, fines, and jail time, all for the sake of alcohol. The same can be said for illegal drugs and narcotics in America today.

I think we’ve all seen folks who struggle with addiction and many countries have decriminalized drugs. The legalization of illegal drugs could provide an entire new market and tax source. It could also ensure the safety of the ingredients in the drugs without users worrying about what they’re laced with and save lives. I don’t think big pharma would appreciate that as their revenue could decrease. Why spend your money on pain pills from big pharma when you can go purchase what they’re made out of legally?


Aside from bootlegging, The Roaring Twenties was a significant period of economic boom thanks to technology that allowed for the mass production of goods, the electrification of America, mass marketing, cheap credit, and more job creation. There were automobiles, television, and electricity. Things were looking up until they weren’t.


On Black Thursday, October 24, 1929, the stock market crashed. Millions of shares were sold by investors who lost faith in the economy. The panic spread beyond investors to regular working-class citizens running to the banks to withdraw all their cash before they collapsed. Not everyone made it. Life savings were lost, retirement funds were lost, businesses crashed and could not operate, and people lost jobs, homes, cars, and livelihoods.


Several banks crashed over the past few years, such as First Republic Bank, Signature Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, and Almena State Bank. These “niche” banks were not federally insured, meaning deposits and risky mortgage lending practices were not protected. Since 2001, 567 banks have failed (FDIC, 2024. What is the lesson here? Make sure your accounts and deposits are federally insured! Maybe keep some cash at home in a shoe box, too. I also remember the housing market crash in 2007, thanks to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The current economy is also questionable, and some sources believe another depression will start in 2030, lasting well into 2036 (ITR Economics, 2023).


Roosevelt created The New Deal to help get America out of The Great Depression by introducing programs such as public work projects, financial reform, and federal regulations. The New Deal helped, but was it what pulled us out of The Great Depression, or was it World War II?

The Great Depression ended in 1939, the same year World War II started between the Allies and the Axis powers. Millions of men were drafted into military service, and millions of new jobs were created in the defense and war industries. As an Army veteran, wars are a terrible thing to witness, but they’re also very profitable, depending on which side of the line you’re on.


World War II saw many things, but most significantly, the creation of nuclear weapons in America. These weapons of mass destruction forever changed the face of the planet when two atomic bombs were horrifically dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in Japan, ultimately ending the war, which led to another great period of economic boom that was driven by increased government spending. And a baby boom or boomers, as we like to say!

References

FDIC (2024). Bank Failures in Brief- Summary. https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/in-brief/index.html

ITR Economics (2023). Why Awareness of the Comming Great Depression Is Vital for Success in the 2030s. https://blog.itreconomics.com/blog/why-awareness-of-coming-great-depression-is-vital-for-success-in-2030s#:~:text=ITR%20Economics%20is%20projecting%20that,pop%20up%20during%20this%20period.

Srinivasan, B. (2018). Americana: A 400-year history of American capitalism. Penguin Press.